2023: A Look Ahead – Forbes Advisor

Navigating the California Real Estate Market: Trends, Forecasts, and Recommendations

California Real Estate Market Adjusts to Higher Mortgage Rates and Rising Inflation

The California real estate market, known for its high prices, is currently adjusting to higher mortgage rates and rising inflation. Despite these challenges, the housing market in the Golden State remains healthy in various regions, including the tech-savvy Bay Area and multi-faceted Southern California.

Home prices vary across California, but many markets are transitioning from a seller’s market to a more neutral setting. However, homes remain expensive for most buyers. According to recent data from the California Association of Realtors (CAR), the majority of median sales prices for existing single-family homes decreased between 2022 and 2023.

First-time homebuyers are facing affordability challenges, especially in regions like the SF Bay Area and LA metro area, where the Housing Affordability Index is lower compared to the national average. However, areas like the Central Valley, including Sacramento and Fresno, offer more affordable housing options.

Looking ahead, CAR forecasts a reduction in existing home sales and median prices for 2023. The association predicts fewer homes will sell in 2023, with a decrease in the statewide median price. Despite these changes, real estate demand is expected to remain steady, with buyer demand and prices likely to stay consistent.

One key indicator of the housing market is the current supply level, with Redfin reporting an average supply of two months in May 2023. While inventory is increasing, the relative lack of homes for sale remains a favorable factor for sellers.

The rise of remote work is also influencing the housing market, with more people able to live in cheaper counties and rural areas due to the flexibility of working from home. This shift in work dynamics is expected to impact housing prices in various regions.

For potential buyers, 2023 may be a better year to purchase a home in California, as prices are forecasted to be at some of the lowest levels since the pandemic real estate boom began. However, buyers should consider the impact of higher mortgage rates on affordability.

On the other hand, sellers may benefit from selling now instead of waiting, as median sales prices are trending lower in many counties and major cities. While inventory remains tight, sellers should be prepared for homes to stay on the market longer and potential price reductions.

Overall, the California real estate market remains seller-friendly, but buyers are gaining more bargaining power as the market continues to adjust in 2023.

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